Research · Updated 25 Oct, 03:07 pm IST
Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark moves RSI prediction to 2027
Why it matters for readers: Explains a recent prediction shift and the benchmark evidence behind a closer timeline for self-improving AI.
- Jack Clark updated his prediction that recursive self-improvement could be possible by 2027.1
- The shift is driven by numbers from TasteVal, a benchmark from P‑Zero Research measuring aspects of models' research abilities.1
- TasteVal tests two research skills (designing experiments and interpreting results) but does not evaluate choosing which research questions to pursue.1
- Each TasteVal task sets a fixed research goal and score, and a fixed coding agent runs experiments on a single Nvidia H100 to avoid coding skill bias.1
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